Feb 11, 2025
Gaming at the Edge: From Play-to-Earn to Persistent Digital Economies
Gaming
Game
GameFi
Executive Summary
Gaming is no longer just an entertainment vertical — it is a testing ground for digital economies, cultural influence, and AI-driven interaction. With over 3.3B global gamers and a $200B+ annual market, gaming already surpasses film and music combined.
The rise of blockchain, verifiable ownership (NFTs), and AI-powered content creation has accelerated gaming into a platform for financial and cultural experimentation. While the first cycle of Play-to-Earn (P2E) collapsed under unsustainable economics, the next generation of verifiable, interoperable, and AI-driven games may redefine how value is created and shared.
This report examines the evolution of gaming, the current state of Web3/AI games, investable sub-sectors, and risks for early-stage investors.
1. Market Overview
Global Gaming Revenue (2024): ~$212B (Newzoo).
Mobile First: >50% of revenue driven by mobile.
Web3 Gaming Funding: ~$2B invested in 2024, down from ~$5B peak in 2021 but showing healthier fundamentals.
Audience: 18–35 demographic dominates, but cross-generational adoption accelerating with mobile + casual formats.
2. Structural Shifts in Gaming
From Play-to-Earn → Play-and-Own
P2E relied on inflationary token incentives → collapsed.
Play-and-Own emphasizes durable ownership of in-game assets (skins, land, reputation).
From Walled Gardens → Open Economies
Traditional games trap assets in closed ecosystems.
Web3 enables portable, composable assets that retain value beyond a single title.
From Static Worlds → AI-Driven Worlds
AI-generated NPCs, narratives, and dynamic environments enhance immersion.
Procedural + generative design reduces dev cost, increases content scale.
From Entertainment → Culture & Finance
Games like Fortnite, Roblox act as cultural hubs.
Tokenized gaming economies blur line between play, work, and investment.
3. Investable Sub-Sectors
1. On-Chain Gaming Infrastructure
Engines, SDKs, wallet abstractions for seamless onboarding.
Thesis: winners will make blockchain invisible to players.
2. Digital Ownership Platforms
NFT marketplaces, cross-game asset standards, Layer 2 gaming chains.
Thesis: liquidity + composability = durable moat.
3. AI-Powered Games
AI-driven NPCs, storytelling, user-generated content engines.
Thesis: personalization and infinite content creation drive engagement.
4. Esports & Interactive Communities
Games as cultural stages (concerts, tournaments, metaverse events).
Thesis: culture multiplies financial value, making games the new social networks.
5. Tokenized Game Economies
In-game currencies, DAO-driven economies, prediction/derivative markets on game outcomes.
Thesis: sustainable if underpinned by verifiable player contribution rather than inflationary farming.
4. Economic Drivers
Attention as Currency: Users increasingly value experiences that can also yield financial return.
Ownership Premium: Players spend more on assets they can own, trade, and leverage across ecosystems.
Community Network Effects: Successful games scale not just by gameplay but by cultural adoption.
Capital Convergence: Gaming becomes a distribution channel for DeFi, NFTs, and cultural tokens.
5. Risks
Tokenomics Pitfalls: Over-financialization alienates players.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Gambling laws, securities treatment of in-game assets.
User Acquisition Cost: Web3 games still struggle with UX and onboarding friction.
Market Saturation: Too many low-quality titles erode trust in “blockchain gaming.”
6. Outlook & Implications
The next generation of investable games will not be “earn-first” Ponzi schemes, but persistent digital economieswhere:
Ownership is real (assets tradeable across titles).
AI drives immersion (NPCs, quests, environments adapt dynamically).
Communities are co-owners (DAOs, guilds, modders participate in governance).
Financial rails are embedded (staking, prediction markets, yield integrated invisibly).
Conclusion
Gaming is the cultural on-ramp to digital economies. Its intersection with AI and blockchain creates asymmetric upside: a single successful title can achieve platform-level dominance and redefine user expectations of ownership and play.
At Leland Ventures, our thesis is clear: the most investable games are not games at all — they are self-sustaining economies where culture, finance, and technology converge.